
Prospects for 2026: “Goldilocks” Performance, but Risks Linger
The global economy has shaken off challenges for four years running, with growth remaining in the neighborhood of 3%. We expect a similar track through the next two years, with the economy expanding 2.7% in 2026 and 2.8% in 2027. The overall effects of tariff pressures look manageable, but five key risks bear watching in the upcoming year.










