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Markets Edition: European Outlook for 2026: When Cyclical Pickup Meets Fiscal Tailwinds

Research @ Citi Podcast  •  Podcast  •  December 18, 2025
Research

Key Highlights

  • Citi's 2026 European Equities Outlook projects a constructive market with a Stoxx 600 target of 640, driven by favorable macro environments and anticipated 11% EPS growth
  • Fiscal tailwinds, AI broadening beyond tech giants, and potential geopolitical stability are set to create a super-favorable backdrop for European equities and diversified investment
  • Investors should be aware of broader market volatility and demanding valuations as key risks, emphasizing the importance of EPS delivery for sustained upside

Elise Badoy, Head of Equity Research for Europe, UK, the Middle East and Africa, sits down with Beata Manthey, Head of European Equity Strategy, to discuss our European outlook for 2026. Topics discussed include the prospects for fiscal revival, the AI broadening theme and geopolitics.

This podcast contains thematic content and is not intended to be investment research. Nor does it constitute financial, economic, legal, tax or accounting advice. This podcast is provided for information purposes only and does not constitute an offer or solicitation to purchase or sell any financial instruments. The contents of this podcast are not based on your individual circumstances and should not be relied upon as an assessment of suitability for you of a particular product, security, or transaction. The information in this podcast is based on generally available information and, although obtained from sources believed by Citi to be reliable, its accuracy and completeness are not guaranteed. Past performance is not a guarantee or indication of future results. This podcast may not be copied or distributed, in whole or in part, without the express written consent of Citi. © 2025 Citigroup Global Markets Inc. Member SIPC. All rights reserved. Citi and Citi and Arc Design are trademarks and service marks of Citigroup Inc. or its affiliates and are used and registered throughout the world.

Elise Badoy is a Managing Director and Head of Equity Research in EMEA. Elise joined Citi in February 2010 and is a member of the Global Research Executive Committee. Prior to Citi, Elise worked at Goldman Sachs from 1999 to 2009, initially on the buy-side at GSAM and from 2001 in GS's Global Investment Research division covering the Consumer Staples sector. Prior to joining Goldman Sachs, she worked at Daiwa Securities in Equity Capital Markets and at ING Barings in Investment Banking.

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Beata Manthey is Head of European Equity Strategy in Citi Research. She joined Citi in 2007 as a Global Equity Strategist. Beata is part of a team that focuses on broader equity market issues. Prior to joining Citi, she worked at the European Bank for Reconstruction & Development.

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